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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+7.74vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.50+3.86vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.78+4.77vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.04vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.92+2.02vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-0.66vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+3.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70-0.11vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65-0.49vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.61-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93+0.23vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.71vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-4.45vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.19-7.79vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.40-5.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.34-6.31vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.02Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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11.18Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.51Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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7.21Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.3Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Erik Bowers | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| David Thompson | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| John Renehan | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 24.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.