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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.87+8.28vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+3.49vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.45+7.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.94vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.14+1.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.13vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49-1.51vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.36-5.20vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-2.33vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.49+2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland2.18-0.59vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-4.88vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology1.48-0.28vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia2.39-5.04vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.69-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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6.49Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.43Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.91Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.49George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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4.8Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.99Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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9.12Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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14.72Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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12.64Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 34.3% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 28.2% |
| Austin Powers | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.5% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.