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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.87+9.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.06vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+5.68vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+3.42vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.93vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-2.35vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.41vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14-0.18vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+1.74vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.99+2.12vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland2.18+0.79vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-0.79vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.75vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology1.48-0.37vs Predicted
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16Hampton University3.02-6.66vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.49-2.32vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.82-11.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.08University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.68Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.42George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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4.65Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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10.41SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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11.74Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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12.21Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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14.63Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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9.34Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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14.68Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.18Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gallagher | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.9% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 9.3% |
| Austin Powers | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 29.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 30.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.