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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+4.74vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+3.99vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+3.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.44vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.67vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+5.32vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+1.94vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.71+3.21vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.88vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-5.08vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.06+1.95vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-1.03vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.08vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-6.73vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.52-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.99George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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5.42Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.94Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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12.21Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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5.92Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.95Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.97Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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10.75SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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9.27Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.72Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Will Holz | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 33.9% |
| Matthew Roleke | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| John Lawless | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.