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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.70vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.55vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+3.07vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+1.32vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+4.04vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.80+2.44vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+3.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+2.77vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.47-2.93vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.51vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71+1.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.57vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.63-0.58vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-8.18vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-3.15vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University1.06-1.99vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.52-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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6.07George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.32Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.04Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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10.18Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.13Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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5.82Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.85Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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14.01Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.7Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Augie Dale | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Austin Neuman | 3.9% | 1.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Sean Golden | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Lawless | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 11.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% |
| Will Holz | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 30.9% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.