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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+5.49vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+8.04vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.21vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+1.81vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+0.97vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+5.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+2.77vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.71+3.25vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.61vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.54-1.66vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-6.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.48vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.47-8.05vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-3.16vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University1.06-1.92vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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10.04Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.97George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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12.33University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.25Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.61SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.34Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.95Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.84Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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14.08Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.4Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Cox | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Will Holz | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.2% |
| Austin Neuman | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.7% |
| John Lawless | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Augie Dale | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% |
| Barrie Joanna | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 32.7% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.