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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+5.54vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+4.02vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+2.90vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+1.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.80+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+5.29vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+1.95vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.76vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-4.18vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-5.12vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71+0.06vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University1.06+1.01vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-4.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-3.98vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-3.60vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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6.02George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.35Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.95Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.76SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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5.88Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.06Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.01Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.32Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.4Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.93Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Cox | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Augie Dale | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.9% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Markus Edegran | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 34.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.