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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+2.91vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+1.81vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+0.91vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+4.29vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+3.06vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.54-0.94vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.37vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.82-0.34vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.67-7.64vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.02vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.63-2.78vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-3.70vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.06-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.91George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.29Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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9.06Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.63SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.66Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.36Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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12.3Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.96Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Devin Keister | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| John Lawless | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Augie Dale | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.