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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+7.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.47vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+6.97vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.16vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+0.89vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52-0.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.65vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+3.49vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-3.62vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-4.30vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.82+0.59vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.06+1.78vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-1.11vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.55-1.50vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.47-9.12vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.63-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.97Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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5.89George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.79Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.49Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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5.38Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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11.59Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.78Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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12.5SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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5.88Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.16Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% |
| Augie Dale | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 31.1% |
| Devin Keister | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% |
| Andreas Adam | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.5% |
| Sean Golden | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.