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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.62+8.18vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+4.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.50+1.99vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65+4.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.61+3.64vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-0.92vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.15vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-0.62vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.34+0.46vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18+0.28vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.78-3.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-3.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-3.77vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.40-4.68vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.72-7.97vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.09Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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6.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.38Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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11.28Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.32Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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9.03Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Bowen | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| David Thompson | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
| John Renehan | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% |
| Erik Bowers | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% |
| James Simmons | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.