← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.67+4.09vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University3.41+3.95vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.52+2.67vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.87vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.80+3.02vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.78vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+4.80vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.30vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.50vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia1.63+2.14vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University2.26-0.80vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.54-2.93vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University3.47-7.03vs Predicted
-
14Washington College2.01-2.89vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.71-3.08vs Predicted
-
16Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.30vs Predicted
-
17Syracuse University1.06-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.09Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
5.95George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
5.67Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.02University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
-
10.3SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
5.5U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
12.14University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
-
10.2Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
9.07Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
5.97Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
11.11Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
11.92Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
13.7Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
-
13.9Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.6% |
| John Lawless | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.2% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Sean Golden | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 26.2% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.