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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.52+4.54vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+3.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.63+8.16vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+4.96vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54+3.18vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67-1.89vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+2.95vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.98vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.82+0.63vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-5.48vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.01-2.00vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-8.17vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.48vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University1.06-2.10vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.06-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.91George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.96Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.18Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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11.63Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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11.0Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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13.52Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.9Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holz | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 10.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Augie Dale | 13.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Devin Keister | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 25.7% |
| Barrie Joanna | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 30.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.