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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.82vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+3.52vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+5.99vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.06+3.21vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+4.81vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+5.13vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-2.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+2.94vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-3.51vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.65vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.63vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.01-2.94vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-9.22vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.82-4.39vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.06-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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5.52Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.99Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.81Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.09George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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5.12Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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6.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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10.54SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.63Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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11.06Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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5.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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11.61Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.9Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.1% |
| Augie Dale | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| John Lawless | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 26.9% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.