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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.29vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.06+4.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.39vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+0.05vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+0.13vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+2.07vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.63+3.98vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.52-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+0.93vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.26-2.02vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.01-1.98vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.82-2.32vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.60vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.33vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.06-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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7.24Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.13George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.07Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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5.82Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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9.98Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.02Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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11.68Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.4SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.67Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.87Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Quinn | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% |
| Will Holz | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Devin Keister | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% |
| John Lawless | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 25.3% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.