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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.06+6.06vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.34vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+1.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+0.35vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52-0.18vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+2.11vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-1.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+2.09vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-4.05vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.42vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.26-1.98vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.82-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.63-1.60vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.01-4.07vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.27vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.06-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.29Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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5.82Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.11Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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5.95George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.58SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.02Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.75Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.93Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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13.73Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.93Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 12.9% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| John Lawless | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 14.2% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 25.9% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.