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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+7.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.31vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+2.22vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.06+3.30vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+0.58vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.01+5.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.56vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.66vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-3.50vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.63+1.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-1.06vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.82-1.28vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.33vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.39vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.41-9.92vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.06-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.22Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.58Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.21Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.92Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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11.72Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.67SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.61Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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6.08George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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13.92Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% |
| Chase Quinn | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 13.5% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 27.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.