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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.78+7.50vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+6.06vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+9.05vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.40+5.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+5.38vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.65+2.31vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19-0.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.54vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.72-2.17vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.50-5.91vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-6.81vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-4.44vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.79vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.34-5.46vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.61-7.48vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.70-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.06Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.05Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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11.38Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.31Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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6.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.52Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Bowers | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| James Simmons | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 21.9% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% |
| John Renehan | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 13.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Thompson | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.