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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+2.32vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+0.97vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.05+2.83vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.12+0.93vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38-2.15vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.01-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05-1.06vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.58-3.17vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.44-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of South Florida1.0919.7%1st Place
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2.97College of Charleston1.8123.4%1st Place
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5.83Florida State University0.054.4%1st Place
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4.93Clemson University0.128.0%1st Place
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2.85Jacksonville University-1.3826.4%1st Place
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5.73North Carolina State University0.015.2%1st Place
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5.94University of North Carolina-0.054.9%1st Place
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4.83Rollins College0.587.6%1st Place
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8.6University of Central Florida-2.440.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 19.7% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 23.4% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 22.2% | 3.6% |
| Ashton Loring | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 2.1% |
| Emily Allen | 26.4% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 3.7% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 26.6% | 5.5% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 0.9% |
| Brianna Nardelli | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.