← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Drexel University-0.19+1.38vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.25-0.07vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.92+0.19vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University-1.62-0.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-1.24-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.38Drexel University-0.190.3%1st Place
-
1.93Ocean County College0.250.4%1st Place
-
3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.1%1st Place
-
3.94Columbia University-1.620.1%1st Place
-
3.56University of Delaware-1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Adams | 29.1% | 29.9% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 5.4% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 43.7% | 30.1% | 17.7% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 13.0% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 26.1% | 18.2% |
| Luke Pelessone | 5.2% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 45.1% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 9.0% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 28.1% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.