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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.45+1.04vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.25+0.22vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.24+0.75vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.36-1.14vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-1.62-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Drexel University0.450.4%1st Place
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2.22Ocean County College0.250.3%1st Place
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3.75University of Delaware-1.240.1%1st Place
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2.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.360.2%1st Place
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4.13Columbia University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ellis | 39.6% | 29.9% | 20.3% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 31.8% | 30.4% | 23.6% | 12.0% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 8.3% | 8.4% | 17.5% | 31.1% | 34.7% |
| Samantha Zito | 15.9% | 23.4% | 28.0% | 24.3% | 8.4% |
| Luke Pelessone | 4.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 24.8% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.