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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.36+1.85vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.45+0.02vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-1.62+1.13vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.25-1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.24-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.360.2%1st Place
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2.02Drexel University0.450.4%1st Place
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4.13Columbia University-1.620.0%1st Place
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2.23Ocean County College0.250.3%1st Place
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3.77University of Delaware-1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Zito | 17.1% | 22.7% | 28.0% | 22.2% | 10.0% |
| John Ellis | 38.6% | 31.8% | 19.9% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Luke Pelessone | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 53.1% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 32.8% | 28.5% | 25.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 6.6% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 35.3% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.