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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy0.51+1.09vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.27vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23-0.66vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.91-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.95-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-3.04-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09U. S. Military Academy0.510.4%1st Place
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3.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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2.34Ocean County College0.230.3%1st Place
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3.71Columbia University-0.910.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Buffalo-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Danko | 38.9% | 30.3% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 13.4% | 17.5% | 22.9% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 2.7% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 30.7% | 28.2% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Catalina Feder | 9.3% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 32.6% | 4.5% |
| Martha Diezemann | 7.1% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 25.3% | 32.9% | 7.9% |
| Patrick Lageraaen | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.