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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy0.51+1.08vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.25vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23-0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.05-0.15vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.91-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-3.04-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08U. S. Military Academy0.510.4%1st Place
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3.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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2.33Ocean County College0.230.3%1st Place
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3.85University of Delaware-1.050.1%1st Place
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3.83Columbia University-0.910.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Buffalo-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Danko | 38.9% | 31.2% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 13.4% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 18.6% | 2.6% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 30.6% | 29.2% | 22.0% | 13.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 8.9% | 8.7% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 35.0% | 5.9% |
| Catalina Feder | 7.5% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 25.4% | 30.1% | 7.9% |
| Patrick Lageraaen | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 9.5% | 82.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.