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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+7.00vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.50+3.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+7.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.09vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65+4.10vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.61+3.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.23vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+2.92vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70+0.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.13vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.19-3.68vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-5.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-0.71vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.72-4.85vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-5.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.34-6.34vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.78-9.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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10.22Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.1Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.92Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.15Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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8.81College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| John Renehan | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| David Thompson | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 22.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% |
| Erik Bowers | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.