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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.31vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38-0.09vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+0.85vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.05+0.76vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.050.00vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.12-2.10vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.01-2.31vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.44-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99College of Charleston1.8123.4%1st Place
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3.31University of South Florida1.0921.0%1st Place
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2.91Jacksonville University-1.3823.6%1st Place
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4.85Rollins College0.588.6%1st Place
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5.76Florida State University0.054.7%1st Place
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6.0University of North Carolina-0.053.9%1st Place
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4.9Clemson University0.129.0%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University0.015.5%1st Place
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8.61University of Central Florida-2.440.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 23.4% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 21.0% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 23.6% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 1.0% |
| Niah Ford | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 23.1% | 3.2% |
| Kathleen Hale | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 26.2% | 5.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 1.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 4.0% |
| Brianna Nardelli | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.