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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy0.51+1.08vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.23+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.05+0.82vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.73vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.91-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-3.04-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08U. S. Military Academy0.510.4%1st Place
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2.35Ocean County College0.230.3%1st Place
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3.82University of Delaware-1.050.1%1st Place
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3.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.8Columbia University-0.910.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Buffalo-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Danko | 37.3% | 32.0% | 19.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 31.7% | 26.7% | 23.4% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 25.5% | 33.1% | 6.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 13.4% | 16.8% | 23.7% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 2.5% |
| Catalina Feder | 8.0% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 24.8% | 30.5% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Lageraaen | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 82.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.