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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy0.51+1.08vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.23+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.05+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-3.04+1.64vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.91-1.21vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08U. S. Military Academy0.510.4%1st Place
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2.36Ocean County College0.230.3%1st Place
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3.84University of Delaware-1.050.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Buffalo-3.040.0%1st Place
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3.79Columbia University-0.910.1%1st Place
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3.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Danko | 38.0% | 31.7% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 31.5% | 28.2% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 8.9% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 25.0% | 31.9% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Lageraaen | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 81.0% |
| Catalina Feder | 7.8% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 25.5% | 30.0% | 7.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 13.4% | 15.9% | 24.9% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.