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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+5.06vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+6.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.50vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+3.86vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+4.78vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.50vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+1.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-0.11vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.55vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-3.06vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.12-5.68vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.63-0.92vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.70vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-5.31vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-9.62vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.05-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.08Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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13.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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13.81Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| John Rolander | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 14.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 25.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.