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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+8.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+5.63vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+6.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49+4.80vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+5.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39+3.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.64vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-0.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-0.22vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-4.54vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05+1.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-5.41vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.08-8.44vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.63-4.13vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-9.66vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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13.7Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.87Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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13.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| John Rolander | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 34.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 12.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 19.8% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.