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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.09vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.96vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.61+3.45vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+3.78vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+1.22vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.98vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27+0.59vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13+0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90+0.01vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-2.73vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-1.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08+0.16vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-3.85vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.24-9.78vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.52-4.32vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.59Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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13.16Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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5.22Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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13.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| William Crary | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| William Hawk | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 25.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.