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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.09vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+7.22vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+4.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+3.98vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24+0.07vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+3.14vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61+0.35vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+1.90vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08+4.25vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-3.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-2.74vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.27-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-3.66vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.65vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.52-5.41vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.07Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.9Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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13.25Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.72Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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13.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.8% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| William Hawk | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 19.0% | 25.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| William Crary | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 10.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.