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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+4.78vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+6.67vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+6.01vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+3.17vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+2.99vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.16vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.61+2.44vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-1.90vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40+1.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.89vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93+1.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.34-1.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-3.77vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-2.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.95vs Predicted
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17Washington College3.65-7.65vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.62-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.01Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.99Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.44Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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10.49Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.34Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.35Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| David Thompson | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| James Simmons | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 24.3% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| John Renehan | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.