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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.13vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+4.98vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.05vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+4.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+4.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+2.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+2.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.43vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-1.08vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-3.32vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-1.75vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-0.09vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-3.59vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-7.03vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.26vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.52-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.91Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.97Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| William Crary | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 22.5% |
| William Hawk | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 34.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.