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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.61+8.24vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+6.67vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+6.28vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.62+4.15vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+1.32vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92+0.06vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.50-2.92vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.72-1.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.77vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.40-1.78vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.63vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.34-3.25vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-3.87vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-3.77vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.70-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.28Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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6.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.06Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.87Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.22Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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11.13Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| David Thompson | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% |
| John Renehan | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.8% |
| James Simmons | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 21.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.