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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+5.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+8.17vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+5.16vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.78+4.78vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.87+7.12vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+3.13vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.96vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.50-2.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.62-0.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.61-1.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-2.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.34-2.24vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-3.80vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-8.86vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-4.79vs Predicted
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18Washington College3.65-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.17Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.16Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.78College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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9.13Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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11.21Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.33Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Hughes | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 22.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Tedd Himler | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| David Thompson | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| John Renehan | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.