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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.01vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.58+2.83vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.12+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09-0.59vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.05+0.83vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-3.12vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05-0.97vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.26-2.57vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.44-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01College of Charleston1.8124.1%1st Place
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4.83Rollins College0.588.0%1st Place
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4.99Clemson University0.128.2%1st Place
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3.41University of South Florida1.0918.4%1st Place
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5.83Florida State University0.055.2%1st Place
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2.88Jacksonville University-1.3825.4%1st Place
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6.03University of North Carolina-0.054.2%1st Place
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5.43North Carolina State University0.265.9%1st Place
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8.6University of Central Florida-2.440.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 24.1% | 22.9% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 1.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 1.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 18.4% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 23.9% | 4.5% |
| Emily Allen | 25.4% | 22.9% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 27.2% | 5.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 3.1% |
| Brianna Nardelli | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 84.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.