Race 2A

mendums-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chris Colbeth 4.1% 4.4% 4.0% 6.1% 7.0% 8.4% 8.3% 9.8% 9.0% 12.5% 13.4% 11.9% 1.1%
Gabriel Elstrodt 20.9% 18.6% 16.9% 12.6% 10.8% 6.9% 5.1% 4.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Florian Eenkema Van Dijk 9.6% 11.4% 13.3% 10.1% 11.3% 10.6% 10.1% 9.2% 6.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Logan Russell 10.9% 10.7% 11.9% 12.7% 9.5% 10.4% 9.3% 8.4% 8.5% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Sam Alexander 18.7% 16.4% 13.3% 12.4% 11.8% 9.7% 6.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Brown 5.0% 5.5% 5.8% 7.0% 7.4% 6.7% 8.2% 10.7% 11.5% 10.5% 11.8% 8.8% 1.1%
Molly Pleskus 11.2% 8.9% 11.2% 9.5% 10.8% 11.2% 9.4% 9.6% 7.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
John Cappetta 6.0% 7.2% 7.0% 8.6% 7.4% 9.8% 11.5% 9.5% 10.1% 10.6% 8.0% 4.0% 0.3%
John Duncan 2.6% 4.0% 3.2% 5.5% 4.4% 4.4% 7.3% 5.9% 10.7% 12.9% 15.6% 19.4% 4.1%
George Luber 3.6% 4.5% 3.9% 4.1% 5.2% 7.4% 8.2% 8.4% 10.1% 11.8% 13.2% 15.9% 3.7%
Noah Brayer 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 6.5% 7.1% 9.6% 11.7% 16.7% 21.1% 5.3%
Zachary Vickerson 5.0% 5.7% 6.0% 7.1% 9.1% 8.8% 8.3% 11.1% 11.1% 10.8% 8.2% 7.9% 0.9%
Nathaniel Wiener 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.9% 7.3% 82.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.