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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.31+8.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.23+8.13vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+3.93vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.64vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.95+2.17vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+2.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.62-0.23vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-1.26vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.29+2.49vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.39vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.15vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.36-8.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.37-5.36vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-3.21vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.08-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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10.13Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.17College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.05Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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13.49Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy3.370.0%1st Place
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12.79Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.86Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Ben Spector | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| William Haeger | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 36.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Kana | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 22.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.