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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.03vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.58+2.87vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.05+2.83vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.12+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09-1.63vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-3.03vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05-1.12vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.26-2.57vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.44-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03College of Charleston1.8122.9%1st Place
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4.87Rollins College0.588.2%1st Place
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5.83Florida State University0.055.3%1st Place
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5.05Clemson University0.127.4%1st Place
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3.37University of South Florida1.0919.1%1st Place
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2.97Jacksonville University-1.3825.1%1st Place
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5.88University of North Carolina-0.055.1%1st Place
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5.43North Carolina State University0.266.5%1st Place
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8.58University of Central Florida-2.440.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Emma Tallman | 22.9% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Shay Bridge | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 1.6% |
Niah Ford | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 24.5% | 5.1% |
Ashton Loring | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 1.8% |
Emma Shakespeare | 19.1% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Emily Allen | 25.1% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Kathleen Hale | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 25.6% | 4.5% |
Evelyn Hannah | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 2.5% |
Brianna Nardelli | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 84.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.