Race 6B

mendums-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Reed Lorimer 15.1% 13.8% 12.5% 13.0% 14.2% 10.0% 8.7% 6.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 17.0% 15.5% 16.2% 13.8% 10.7% 9.6% 7.2% 4.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 14.0% 15.1% 13.7% 13.7% 10.3% 11.8% 8.0% 7.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Bobby McLaughlin 5.0% 5.6% 5.5% 7.3% 8.9% 8.7% 13.1% 12.4% 11.9% 12.5% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Amanda Sommi 11.2% 10.9% 10.4% 10.5% 11.9% 11.7% 10.6% 10.3% 6.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 7.4% 7.4% 9.2% 9.7% 9.6% 11.5% 11.5% 12.1% 9.5% 7.4% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Quinn Andersen 17.7% 16.9% 15.8% 13.3% 11.5% 9.0% 7.0% 4.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
William Manning 2.1% 4.1% 3.7% 2.9% 5.0% 6.7% 6.5% 10.7% 13.1% 19.7% 18.3% 6.5% 0.7%
Amy Macdonald 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 4.4% 5.7% 9.0% 17.1% 28.7% 15.7% 2.9%
Alexander Baskin 4.5% 4.7% 4.5% 6.2% 6.1% 8.4% 10.7% 11.3% 15.0% 13.6% 11.6% 3.0% 0.4%
Braden Foster 3.8% 3.4% 5.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 10.1% 11.6% 15.8% 14.3% 10.3% 3.7% 0.4%
Vick Xu 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 4.4% 9.9% 39.8% 37.9%
Molly Gallagher 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 6.9% 28.4% 57.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.