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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.31+7.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+3.80vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.62+4.68vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.36-0.02vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05-0.11vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.29+5.19vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.95-1.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-1.60vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.23-1.79vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.08-2.07vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-4.92vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-2.33vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.36vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.37-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.77Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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8.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.19Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.49College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.1%1st Place
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10.21Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.93Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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12.67Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| William Haeger | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Carmody | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Patrick Kana | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 32.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 24.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.