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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.36vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.12+2.02vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+0.88vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.26+0.40vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-3.17vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05-1.03vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.05-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.44-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06College of Charleston1.8123.2%1st Place
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3.36University of South Florida1.0919.4%1st Place
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5.02Clemson University0.128.0%1st Place
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4.88Rollins College0.587.3%1st Place
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5.4North Carolina State University0.265.5%1st Place
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2.83Jacksonville University-1.3826.6%1st Place
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5.97University of North Carolina-0.054.2%1st Place
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5.89Florida State University0.055.3%1st Place
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8.59University of Central Florida-2.440.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 23.2% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 19.4% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 1.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 2.8% |
| Emily Allen | 26.6% | 22.4% | 20.2% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 26.2% | 5.5% |
| Niah Ford | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 5.0% |
| Brianna Nardelli | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.