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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+8.96vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+3.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.83vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.76+4.62vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+4.28vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.76+2.71vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.52+2.67vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.08+3.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67+0.02vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.50-1.10vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.29-0.94vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.53-3.56vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.68-5.29vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.36-4.67vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.35-1.66vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-6.98vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.96Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.44College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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9.67Brown University3.520.0%1st Place
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11.51Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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9.44Yale University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.71Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 5.0% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Megan Magill | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% |
| Sarah Lihan | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Christina Baker | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 35.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.