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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+6.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+4.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.30vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.25+2.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.45+1.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+2.50vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+2.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.75vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.57+0.20vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02-3.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-0.56vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.20-0.47vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.82-1.08vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-5.88vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-1.98vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.20-1.71vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.06-5.97vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.69-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Brown University2.378.2%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College2.349.9%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University2.4010.2%1st Place
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6.59Yale University2.259.3%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University2.4512.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University1.995.9%1st Place
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9.76Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.732.8%1st Place
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9.2Yale University1.574.3%1st Place
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6.94Boston College2.029.1%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University1.274.2%1st Place
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11.53Connecticut College1.202.8%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island0.822.1%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.6%1st Place
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13.02Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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14.29Salve Regina University0.201.4%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont1.062.9%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University0.692.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Chase Decker | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Owen Grainger | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 16.1% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 31.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.