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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+2.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.45vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.35+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.16+1.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97-2.23vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.33-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.91-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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3.45Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.07Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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3.77Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 23.5% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 18.5% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Robert Rose | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Sam Rush | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 5.6% |
| August Sturm | 17.2% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.2% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 25.8% | 26.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 13.8% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.