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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.16+4.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+1.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.35+2.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-0.27vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.33+1.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26-2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.91-0.50vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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3.27Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.08Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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6.73Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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3.28Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.22University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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3.8Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rush | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 6.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 20.3% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Robert Rose | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 4.9% |
| August Sturm | 16.8% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 26.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.7% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 13.7% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 20.6% | 46.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.