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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.35+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16+3.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+0.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26-0.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38-2.89vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.91+0.55vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.33-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.77-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island2.160.0%1st Place
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3.89Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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3.24Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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3.11Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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6.82Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Rose | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
| Sam Rush | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 7.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.4% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| August Sturm | 17.1% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 23.0% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 48.6% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 25.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.