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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.12vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+1.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+0.01vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.35+0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.16-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.91-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.69Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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3.01Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.8Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 22.2% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.2% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 24.5% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Rose | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 8.0% |
| August Sturm | 13.9% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Sam Rush | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 11.7% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 57.9% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 26.5% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.