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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+1.26vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.16+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.91+1.94vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77-0.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.26-3.79vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.35-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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3.26Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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3.62Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.09University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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4.62Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Sturm | 15.1% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 20.9% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 17.5% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Sam Rush | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 10.9% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 57.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 26.2% | 19.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 23.3% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Robert Rose | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.