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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.35+3.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.91+2.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20-1.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.16-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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3.12Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.9University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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3.23Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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3.6Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Rose | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 7.6% |
| August Sturm | 16.0% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Tong | 23.0% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 56.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 20.5% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 17.9% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Sam Rush | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 11.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 25.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.