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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+0.24vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.35+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.77+0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.91+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.16-1.86vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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3.24Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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3.52Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 22.2% | 22.0% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| August Sturm | 15.6% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 21.4% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Robert Rose | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 7.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 26.1% | 19.8% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 55.5% |
| Sam Rush | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 12.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 18.4% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.