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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.08vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.16+2.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.77+0.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.35-1.33vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20-3.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.91-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.64Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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4.67Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.33Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 23.6% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.4% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Sam Rush | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 10.4% |
| August Sturm | 15.4% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 25.9% | 20.1% |
| Robert Rose | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 7.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 20.2% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.