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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+4.81vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+2.79vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.95+3.36vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+3.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+3.38vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+0.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.37+1.35vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.11vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.51vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.62-2.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-5.17vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-0.20vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.08-3.06vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-1.57vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.31-6.05vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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7.89Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy3.370.1%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.8Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.94Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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13.43Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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10.27Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamon Glackin | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ben Spector | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Carmody | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| William Haeger | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 23.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 34.8% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.