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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+2.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.15vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.35+1.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-0.35vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.16-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.91-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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4.7Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.2%1st Place
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3.63Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 22.3% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 22.9% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Robert Rose | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 7.4% |
| August Sturm | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 15.9% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Sam Rush | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 11.6% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 26.0% | 22.3% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 21.6% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.