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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.64+1.18vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.28-0.32vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.19vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.18-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Fairfield University0.640.3%1st Place
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1.68Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
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3.19Sacred Heart University-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.95Wesleyan University-0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Vincens | 27.9% | 37.1% | 24.3% | 10.7% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 51.6% | 32.6% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 9.9% | 11.4% | 28.4% | 50.3% |
| Ali Dawes | 10.6% | 18.9% | 35.1% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.