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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+0.67vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.64+0.23vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.17vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.18-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
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2.23Fairfield University0.640.3%1st Place
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3.17Sacred Heart University-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.93Wesleyan University-0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 52.6% | 31.5% | 12.4% | 3.5% |
| Lillian Vincens | 26.5% | 36.2% | 25.5% | 11.8% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 9.9% | 13.3% | 26.3% | 50.5% |
| Ali Dawes | 11.0% | 19.0% | 35.8% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.